--- title: "Magic Cube case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Magic Cube ($75.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 15 items with odds, observed 69.83% over 7 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1066 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Magic Cube](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1066) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Magic Cube A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1066?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1066?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1066) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1066?window=all) Price · $75.00 · 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $67.54 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.83% · 7 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 1 openings · below min 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 7 openings · below min since tracking started · 7 openings · below min -0.5% 157.3% 315.0% **Small sample.** 7 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1066?window=24h) | 1 | 26.00% ±288.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1066?window=7d) | 7 | 69.83% ±109.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1066) | 7 | 69.83% ±109.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1066?window=all) | 7 | 69.83% ±109.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,760 4,760 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,952 2,952 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,785 1,785 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,090 | $1,046 1,046 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $493 493 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $294 294 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Snake Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) | 10.4% | $91.18 91.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $73.09 73.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 14.5% | $48.36 48.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.98× | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 14.5% | $29.05 29.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.99× | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 13.6% | $19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Complexity Gaming (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-gold-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 11 | $14.24 14.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $8.61 8.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1066`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1066) [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) Hidden $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN $19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.26x 2026-11-11 01:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN $91.18 91.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.22x 2026-11-09 16:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) [da ander](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/da%20ander) $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN $91.18 91.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.22x 2026-11-09 16:10 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) Hidden $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN $73.09 73.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.97x 2026-11-09 16:10 UTC [Sticker | Complexity Gaming (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN $14.24 14.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-09 15:50 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) Hidden $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN $48.36 48.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-09 15:50 UTC [Galil AR | CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) [da ander](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/da%20ander) $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN $29.05 29.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.39x 2026-11-09 15:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $75.00 | 90.05% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 26.2% legendary 0.0% mil spec 8.4% covert knife 10.4% restricted 28.1% #EB4B4B 9.1% Restricted 8.0% classified 9.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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