---
title: "Toxic Zone case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Toxic Zone ($1.15) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 17 items with odds, observed 57.61% over 32 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1069
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Toxic Zone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1069)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Toxic Zone

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1069?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1069?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1069) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1069?window=all)

Price · $1.15 · 1.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1.04 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 57.61% · 32 openings, odds method

Variance · 39.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 32 openings · below min

30 days · 32 openings · below min

since tracking started · 32 openings · below min

-0.5% 369.8% 740.0%

**Small sample.** 32 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1069?window=24h) | 3 | 29.57% ±709.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1069?window=7d) | 32 | 57.61% ±217.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1069) | 32 | 57.61% ±217.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1069?window=all) | 32 | 57.61% ±217.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $358 358 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $286 286 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $218 218 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $183 183 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $120 120 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $87.92 87.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $68.00 68 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $58.40 58.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $29.00 29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Aloha (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.3% | 6 | 6.4 | 0.94× |
| [Sticker \| Hello AWP sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-awp) | 25.0% | $0.48 0.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.6% | 8 | 8.0 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $0.21 0.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 6 | 8.0 | 0.75× |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 21.2% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 10 | 6.8 | 1.48× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1069`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1069)

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.87x 2026-11-10 20:20 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 20:20 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 20:20 UTC

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.74x 2026-11-09 16:59 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.21 0.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-09 16:59 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 22:59 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 22:59 UTC

[Sticker | Hello AWP sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-awp) Hidden $1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.48 0.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-08 22:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.87x 2026-11-08 22:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.87x 2026-11-08 22:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.15 | 90.00% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% red 0.0% classified 0.6% restricted 2.1% #4B69FF 1.0% milspec 5.0% mil spec 20.0% High Grade 25.0% industrial 25.0% #B0C3D9 21.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt