---
title: "Graveyard case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Graveyard ($76.82) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.04% from 12 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1070
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Graveyard](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1070)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Graveyard

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1070?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1070?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1070) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1070?window=all)

Price · $76.82 · 76.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.04% · EV $69.17 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 19.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1070?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1070?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1070) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1070?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.4K 10,415 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Night (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,099 | $859 859 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $282 282 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 13.2% | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-minimal-wear) | 10.9% | $94.56 94.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 13.3% | $52.67 52.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-minimal-wear) | 12.3% | $31.47 31.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Isaac (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-isaac-factory-new) | 10.7% | $21.32 21.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $15.53 15.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Collectible Pins Capsule Series 2 container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/collectible-pins-capsule-series-2) | 1 in 14 | $12.00 12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $9.54 9.54 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Autograph Capsule \| Fnatic \| Cologne 2016 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-fnatic-cologne-2016) | 13.6% | $7.55 7.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1070`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1070)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $76.82 | 90.04% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.1% #EB4B4B 0.1% extraordinary 4.0% covert 29.8% classified 13.3% Restricted 12.3% mil spec 10.7% industrial 8.9% #B0C3D9 20.8%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.04 on average: an expected loss of $9.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
