---
title: "Cocktail case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Cocktail ($65.25) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 10 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1071
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Cocktail](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1071)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Cocktail

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1071?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1071?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1071) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1071?window=all)

Price · $65.25 · 65.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $58.69 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 8.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 26.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1071?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1071?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1071) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1071?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,856 5,856 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 1,036 | $696 696 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 1,048 | $269 269 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 10.7% | $149 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 27.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 15.4% | $98.00 98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| LGB eSports \| Katowice 2015 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2015) | 16.7% | $58.17 58.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Trigon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-trigon-minimal-wear) | 10.8% | $34.78 34.78 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $23.92 23.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Acheron (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-acheron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $17.37 17.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team SoloMid (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-solomid-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 31.1% | $13.41 13.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1071`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1071)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $65.25 | 89.95% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 24.0% sunny 0.1% restricted 0.1% covert knife 10.7% Rare 16.7% classified 10.8% Mil Spec Grade 6.4% exotic 31.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
