--- title: "Cutting Costs case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cutting Costs ($35.87) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.10% from 10 items with odds, observed 81.77% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1072 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Cutting Costs](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1072) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Cutting Costs A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1072?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1072?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1072) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1072?window=all) Price · $35.87 · 35.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.10% · EV $32.32 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.77% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 26.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 100.8% 202.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1072?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1072?window=7d) | 6 | 81.77% ±119.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1072) | 6 | 81.77% ±119.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1072?window=all) | 6 | 81.77% ±119.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,549 3,549 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,087 | $1,047 1,047 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,011 | $294 294 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Snake Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 380 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-stained-well-worn) | 10.5% | $91.19 91.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Serum (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-serum-factory-new) | 15.3% | $48.38 48.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Cmdr. Davida 'Goggles' Fernandez \| SEAL Frogman agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/cmdr-davida-goggles-fernandez-seal-frogman) | 18.7% | $29.07 29.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [Sticker \| disco doplan (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-disco-doplan-foil-atlanta-2017) | 17.6% | $19.51 19.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.95× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 11.7% | $14.25 14.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) | 25.7% | $10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.30× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1072`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1072) [Sticker | disco doplan (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-disco-doplan-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $35.87 35.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $19.51 19.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.54x 2026-11-07 10:39 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-stained-well-worn) [Mexi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Mexi) $35.87 35.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $91.19 91.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.54x 2026-11-07 10:39 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) Hidden $35.87 35.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-07 10:39 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $35.87 35.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $14.25 14.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-06 03:49 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) Hidden $35.87 35.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-06 03:49 UTC [Cmdr. Davida 'Goggles' Fernandez | SEAL Frogman agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/cmdr-davida-goggles-fernandez-seal-frogman) [POTATO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/POTATO) $35.87 35.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $29.07 29.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.81x 2026-11-06 03:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $35.87 | 90.10% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% covert 0.1% mil spec 0.3% covert knife 10.5% classified 15.3% red 18.7% #D32CE6 17.6% Covert 11.7% Restricted 25.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.10 on average: an expected loss of $9.90 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt