--- title: "Strike case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Strike ($90.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.04% from 20 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1075 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Strike](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1075) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Strike A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1075?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1075?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1075) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1075?window=all) Price · $90.00 · 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.04% · EV $81.04 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 10.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 32.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 59.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1075?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1075?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1075) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1075?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $16.9K 16,892 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $9,649 9,649 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,947 5,947 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,205 4,205 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,678 1,678 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $869 869 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,070 | $235 235 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $175 175 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| KSCERATO (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kscerato-gold-katowice-2019) | 15.0% | $139 139 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 12.7% | $114 114 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $94.56 94.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| Cerberus (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $74.33 74.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir FAMAS \| Styx (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-styx-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $57.05 57.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| qikert (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-qikert-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 21 | $43.48 43.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $35.24 35.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 36 | $29.25 29.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $24.69 24.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $21.06 21.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $18.19 18.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-factory-new) | 31.1% | $15.87 15.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1075`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1075) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $90.00 | 90.04% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% contraband 0.0% covert 10.1% legendary 0.1% covert knife 12.8% #EB4B4B 19.7% restricted 10.5% Restricted 7.1% Legendary 3.7% #D32CE6 2.8% #8847ff 1.2% industrial 0.9% Mythical 31.1% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.04 on average: an expected loss of $9.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt