---
title: "Blockwork case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Blockwork ($165.25) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 20 items with odds, observed 49.40% over 6 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1077
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Blockwork](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1077)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Blockwork

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1077?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1077?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1077) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1077?window=all)

Price · $165.25 · 165 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $148.81 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 49.40% · 6 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 6 openings · below min

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

-0.5% 134.3% 269.0%

**Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1077?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1077?window=7d) | 6 | 49.40% ±218.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1077) | 6 | 49.40% ±218.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1077?window=all) | 6 | 49.40% ±218.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $19.3K 19,284 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $14.3K 14,306 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $10.7K 10,659 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $6,542 6,542 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $4,348 4,348 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $3,463 3,463 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,665 2,665 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) | 1 in 833 | $2,090 2,090 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $1,804 1,804 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $1,402 1,402 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) | 1 in 400 | $1,094 1,094 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $1,035 1,035 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 286 | $891 891 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $698 698 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $426 426 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 11.6% | $293 293 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-minimal-wear) | 17.9% | $146 146 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.6% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.86× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-factory-new) | 20.5% | $90.76 90.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-cologne-2016) | 21.8% | $48.04 48.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |
| [Autograph Capsule \| Challengers (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-challengers-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 24.6% | $29.00 29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1077`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1077)

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-minimal-wear) Hidden $165 165 CSGOBIG\_COIN $146 146 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.89x 2026-11-07 23:49 UTC

[Autograph Capsule | Challengers (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-challengers-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) Hidden $165 165 CSGOBIG\_COIN $29.00 29 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-07 23:49 UTC

[Autograph Capsule | Challengers (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-challengers-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) Hidden $165 165 CSGOBIG\_COIN $29.00 29 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-07 23:49 UTC

[AK-47 | First Class (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-factory-new) Hidden $165 165 CSGOBIG\_COIN $90.76 90.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.55x 2026-11-05 14:19 UTC

[Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Cologne 2016 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-cologne-2016) Hidden $165 165 CSGOBIG\_COIN $48.04 48.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.29x 2026-11-05 14:19 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-minimal-wear) Hidden $165 165 CSGOBIG\_COIN $146 146 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.89x 2026-11-05 14:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $165 | 90.05% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.9% legendary 0.0% extraordinary 18.1% classified 0.1% covert knife 11.7% contraband 0.3% gold 1.2% restricted 20.5% Mythical 21.8% #B0C3D9 24.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
