--- title: "Doodle case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Doodle ($83.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.03% from 15 items with odds, observed 26.07% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1079 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Doodle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1079) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Doodle A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1079?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1079?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1079) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1079?window=all) Price · $83.55 · 83.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.03% · EV $75.22 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 26.07% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 20.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 1 openings · below min 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min -0.5% 457.0% 914.5% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1079?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1079?window=7d) | 1 | 26.07% ±887.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1079) | 1 | 26.07% ±887.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1079?window=all) | 1 | 26.07% ±887.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $13.8K 13,815 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,773 3,773 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $2,471 2,471 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $1,795 1,795 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Fnatic (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 286 | $1,386 1,386 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $1,097 1,097 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $883 883 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,051 | $813 813 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,078 | $278 278 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Zeus (Gold) \| London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zeus-gold-london-2018) | 12.5% | $94.99 94.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 15.6% | $53.68 53.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| bodyy (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bodyy-foil-krakow-2017) | 16.1% | $31.98 31.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) | 13.7% | $21.78 21.78 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [Chroma Pin pin · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/chroma-pin) | 35.8% | $15.82 15.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1079`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1079) [USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) [PhukFace](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/PhukFace) $83.55 83.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $21.78 21.78 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.26x 2026-11-06 07:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $83.55 | 90.03% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.9% remarkable 0.3% classified 0.4% restricted 14.2% gold 0.1% covert knife 0.1% extraordinary 48.3% Ancient 15.6% #8847FF 16.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.03 on average: an expected loss of $9.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt