---
title: "20% Croak case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "20% Croak ($1,500.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 26 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1087
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [20% Croak](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1087)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 20% Croak

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1087?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1087?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1087) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1087?window=all)

Price · $1,500.00 · 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $1,349.82 from 26 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1087?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1087?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1087) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1087?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $49.3K 49,263 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $40.7K 40,661 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $35.2K 35,188 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $29.4K 29,401 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $25.3K 25,335 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $16.3K 16,311 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $14K 14,047 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 333 | $13.5K 13,465 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $12.7K 12,668 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $11.3K 11,260 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 167 | $9,149 9,149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 143 | $8,727 8,727 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $8,445 8,445 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $7,952 7,952 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| compLexity Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $7,038 7,038 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $5,630 5,630 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $4,757 4,757 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $4,348 4,348 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 50 | $3,660 3,660 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $3,096 3,096 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 29 | $2,688 2,688 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 15.0% | $422 422 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $197 197 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Lore Poison Frog (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lore-poison-frog-foil) | 25.0% | $49.12 49.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Lieutenant Rex Krikey \| SEAL Frogman agent · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/lieutenant-rex-krikey-seal-frogman) | 20.0% | $17.73 17.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1087`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1087)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,500 | 89.99% | 26 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 21.1% remarkable 1.1% covert 24.4% legendary 6.2% contraband 2.3% exotic 25.0% pink 20.0% #B0C3D9 0.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt