--- title: "5% Pulsar case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% Pulsar ($246.60) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 19 items with odds, observed 41.18% over 27 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1088 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [5% Pulsar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1088) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 5% Pulsar A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1088?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1088?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1088) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1088?window=all) Price · $246.60 · 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $221.92 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 41.18% · 27 openings, odds method Variance · 34.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 83 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 19 openings · below min 30 days · 27 openings · below min since tracking started · 27 openings · below min -0.5% 132.0% 264.5% **Small sample.** 27 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1088?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1088?window=7d) | 19 | 0.89% ±262.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1088) | 27 | 41.18% ±220.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1088?window=all) | 27 | 41.18% ±220.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 27 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 1,000 | $29K 29,007 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $16.9K 16,890 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $13.1K 13,074 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.3K 11,260 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $8,023 8,023 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 333 | $7,369 7,369 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $6,334 6,334 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $5,630 5,630 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $4,082 4,082 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $3,502 3,502 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 250 | $2,688 2,688 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $2,172 2,172 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,886 1,886 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,675 1,675 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,361 1,361 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,082 1,082 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Blaze Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blaze-surf-k-foil) | 50.0% | $3.48 3.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 14 | 13.5 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| Surf's Up sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-surfs-up) | 45.0% | $0.42 0.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 12 | 12.1 | 0.99× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1088`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Headed](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Headed) $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2,688 2,688 CSGOBIG\_COIN 10.90x 2026-11-03 19:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1088) [Sticker | Surf's Up sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-surfs-up) Hidden $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.42 0.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Surf's Up sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-surfs-up) Hidden $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.42 0.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Blaze Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blaze-surf-k-foil) Hidden $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.48 3.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Blaze Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blaze-surf-k-foil) Hidden $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.48 3.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Blaze Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blaze-surf-k-foil) Hidden $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.48 3.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Surf's Up sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-surfs-up) Hidden $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.42 0.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Surf's Up sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-surfs-up) Hidden $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.42 0.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Blaze Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blaze-surf-k-foil) Hidden $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.48 3.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Blaze Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blaze-surf-k-foil) Hidden $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.48 3.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Blaze Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blaze-surf-k-foil) [po0pie](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/po0pie) $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.48 3.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $247 | 89.99% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% covert 3.2% contraband 0.2% classified 0.4% legendary 0.5% Covert 0.5% exotic 50.0% #4B69FF 45.0% #B0C3D9 0.0% best hit $2,688 (10.90x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt