--- title: "Lucky Seven case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lucky Seven ($72.33) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.07% from 12 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1089 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Lucky Seven](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1089) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Lucky Seven A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1089?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1089?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1089) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1089?window=all) Price · $72.33 · 72.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.07% · EV $65.15 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 62.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1089?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1089?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1089) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1089?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,327 5,327 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,602 2,602 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,098 | $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 187 | $227 227 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 15.3% | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 34.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 10.9% | $107 107 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred-phase-1) | 10.9% | $75.03 75.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-varicamo-minimal-wear) | 10.6% | $48.91 48.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $34.18 34.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| JW (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jw-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 14 | $25.75 25.75 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $19.69 19.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 29.7% | $15.83 15.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1089`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1089) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $72.33 | 90.07% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 32.0% #EB4B4B 0.6% covert knife 10.9% Mil Spec Grade 10.6% #d32ee6 8.9% #D32CE6 7.2% #d32ce6 29.7% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.07 on average: an expected loss of $9.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt