--- title: "Riddle case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Riddle ($0.60) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 17 items with odds, observed 43.84% over 23 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1091 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Riddle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1091) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Riddle A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1091?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1091?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1091) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1091?window=all) Price · $0.60 · 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $0.54 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 43.84% · 23 openings, odds method Variance · 242.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 66 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 21 openings · below min 30 days · 23 openings · below min since tracking started · 23 openings · below min -0.5% 653.8% 1308.0% **Small sample.** 23 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1091?window=24h) | 6 | 61.94% ±1245.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1091?window=7d) | 21 | 47.54% ±665.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1091) | 23 | 43.84% ±636.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1091?window=all) | 23 | 43.84% ±636.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 23 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $678 678 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $422 422 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $114 114 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $50.15 50.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $23.60 23.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $14.17 14.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.61 11.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-purple-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $2.84 2.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Galil AR \| Hunting Blind (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-hunting-blind-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $1.74 1.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [AWP \| Acheron (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $0.74 0.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.7% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× | | [Sticker \| ANNIHILATION (Holo) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-annihilation-holo-rio-2022) | 10.0% | $0.68 0.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.6% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.74× | | [Sticker \| Aeldari Avatar sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aeldari-avatar) | 10.0% | $0.28 0.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× | | [Sticker \| Agent Select sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-agent-select) | 15.0% | $0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× | | [Sticker \| Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) | 25.0% | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 7 | 5.8 | 1.22× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 23.5% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1091`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1091) [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.74 0.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.23x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [Sticker | ANNIHILATION (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-annihilation-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.68 0.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.13x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.74 0.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.23x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) [Default Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Default%20Name) $0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-10 12:59 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-10 12:59 UTC [Sticker | Agent Select sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-agent-select) Hidden $0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-10 12:59 UTC [Sticker | Aeldari Avatar sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aeldari-avatar) Hidden $0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.28 0.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.47x 2026-11-10 12:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.60 | 90.00% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% classified 0.0% Covert 0.1% restricted 10.1% Mil Spec Grade 0.2% pink 1.0% Consumer Grade 2.0% milspec 3.0% #D32CE6 10.0% #4B69FF 10.0% Rare 15.0% High Grade 25.0% #B0C3D9 23.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt