--- title: "Archive case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Archive ($0.10) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.54% from 8 items with odds, observed 10.00% over 191 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1092 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Archive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1092) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Archive A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1092?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1092?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1092) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1092?window=all) Price · $0.10 · 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.54% · EV $0.09 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 10.00% · 191 openings, odds method Variance · 1315.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 3,333 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 26 openings · below min 7 days · 163 openings · below min 30 days · 191 openings · below min since tracking started · 191 openings · below min -0.5% 702.3% 1405.0% **Small sample.** 191 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1092?window=24h) | 26 | 10.00% ±1394.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1092?window=7d) | 163 | 10.00% ±556.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1092) | 191 | 10.00% ±514.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1092?window=all) | 191 | 10.00% ±514.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 191 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $274 274 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 31.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $163 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $105 105 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $96.56 96.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $74.53 74.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $61.93 61.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 39.9% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 191 | 76.3 | 2.50× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 60.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 114.6 | 0.00× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1092`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1092) [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 10:50 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 10:50 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 10:50 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) [pgn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/pgn) $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 10:50 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 10:50 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 10:50 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.10 | 87.54% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% covert knife 0.0% Covert 0.0% #B0C3D9 39.9% consumer 60.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.54 on average: an expected loss of $12.46 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt