--- title: "Skymark case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Skymark ($0.79) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds, observed 37.83% over 9 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1093 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Skymark](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1093) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Skymark A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1093?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1093?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1093) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1093?window=all) Price · $0.79 · 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $0.71 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 37.83% · 9 openings, odds method Variance · 315.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 85 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 9 openings · below min 30 days · 9 openings · below min since tracking started · 9 openings · below min -0.5% 1040.0% 2080.5% **Small sample.** 9 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1093?window=24h) | 3 | 70.46% ±2009.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1093?window=7d) | 9 | 37.83% ±1160.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1093) | 9 | 37.83% ±1160.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1093?window=all) | 9 | 37.83% ±1160.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,239 1,239 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $493 493 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $296 296 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $177 177 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $125 125 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $123 123 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $74.88 74.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 3,333 | $49.90 49.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $24.70 24.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Mehndi (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $14.08 14.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $10.56 10.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $7.73 7.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $4.91 4.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP7 \| Impire (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-impire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $2.94 2.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $1.45 1.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.98 0.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.68 0.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.49 0.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.3% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.48× | | [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Slipstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 23.0% | $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 40.8% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 5 | 3.7 | 1.36× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1093`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1093) [PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-field-tested) Hidden $0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.98 0.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.24x 2026-11-11 05:59 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Valence (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-well-worn) Hidden $0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.68 0.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.86x 2026-11-11 05:59 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 05:59 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.49 0.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.62x 2026-11-06 05:09 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 05:09 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 05:09 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.49 0.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.62x 2026-11-06 05:09 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 05:09 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) [Calz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Calz) $0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 05:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.79 | 90.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% covert knife 0.0% classified 0.7% restricted 7.3% mil spec 3.0% milspec 25.0% Mil Spec Grade 23.0% #B0C3D9 40.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt