---
title: "Aurum case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Aurum ($6,377.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 28 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1094
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Aurum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1094)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Aurum

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1094?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1094?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1094) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1094?window=all)

Price · $6,377.00 · 6,377 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $5,738.65 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1094?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1094?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1094) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1094?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened - 4x Titan (Factory New) weapon · #D9A859](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-4x-titan-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $300K 300,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $210K 210,408 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus - 4x Reason (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-4x-reason-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $150K 150,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $105K 105,272 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $95.3K 95,272 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $56.1K 56,109 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 333 | $42.1K 42,126 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $35.1K 35,068 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 250 | $28.1K 28,054 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $25.2K 25,249 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $19.6K 19,638 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $15.6K 15,586 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 111 | $13.7K 13,747 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $12.5K 12,469 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 67 | $12.5K 12,467 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 67 | $11.7K 11,727 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $9,959 9,959 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $8,346 8,346 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20 | $7,450 7,450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $6,684 6,684 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $4,629 4,629 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) | 1 in 33 | $3,731 3,731 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $3,331 3,331 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 13 | $3,107 3,107 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2,714 2,714 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2,494 2,494 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 27.0% | $2,118 2,118 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1094`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1094)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6,377 | 89.99% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #D9A859 0.1% covert 67.9% #EB4B4B 0.1% legendary 2.4% extraordinary 1.8% base 0.3% remarkable 0.4% contraband 2.0% epic 6.0% high 3.0% Covert 6.0% classified 10.0% #B0C3D9 0.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
