--- title: "5% Cryonix case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% Cryonix ($2,337.80) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 0.28% over 2 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1095 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [5% Cryonix](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1095) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 5% Cryonix A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1095?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1095?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1095) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1095?window=all) Price · $2,337.80 · 2,338 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $2,103.87 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.28% · 2 openings, odds method Variance · 29.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 2 openings · below min 30 days · 2 openings · below min since tracking started · 2 openings · below min -0.5% 378.3% 757.0% **Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1095?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1095?window=7d) | 2 | 0.28% ±756.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1095) | 2 | 0.28% ±756.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1095?window=all) | 2 | 0.28% ±756.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir - 3x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-3x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $150K 150,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) - Pattern 661 StatTrak · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear-pattern-661) | 1 in 400 | $125K 125,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 400 | $105K 105,272 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $70.1K 70,136 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $56.1K 56,109 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $35.1K 35,068 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $28.1K 28,054 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $19.6K 19,638 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $17.6K 17,640 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $15.6K 15,586 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $12.5K 12,467 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $10.2K 10,159 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Dragon Lore Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-surf-ava-foil) | 25.0% | $11.00 11 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| Dark Water Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dark-water-surf-ava-foil) | 25.0% | $2.55 2.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| Sticker Bomb Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sticker-bomb-surf-k-foil) | 45.0% | $1.88 1.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1095`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1095) [Sticker | Sticker Bomb Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sticker-bomb-surf-k-foil) Hidden $2,338 2,338 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.88 1.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:09 UTC [Sticker | Dragon Lore Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-surf-ava-foil) Hidden $2,338 2,338 CSGOBIG\_COIN $11.00 11 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2,338 | 89.99% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 0.3% #D32CE6 0.3% legendary 1.0% extraordinary 1.5% covert 1.5% remarkable 0.5% exotic 95.0% #B0C3D9 0.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt