--- title: "Brian case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Brian ($977.77) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 19 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1098 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Brian](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1098) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Brian A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1098?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1098?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1098) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1098?window=all) Price · $977.77 · 978 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $879.96 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 29.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 95 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1098?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1098?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1098) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1098?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) - Pattern 661 StatTrak · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear-pattern-661) | 1 in 1,000 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $68K 68,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $55K 55,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 500 | $29K 29,007 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $14.5K 14,474 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.7K 11,663 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $9,668 9,668 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $8,205 8,205 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $6,885 6,885 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $5,621 5,621 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 133 | $4,750 4,750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 105 | $4,075 4,075 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $3,654 3,654 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $3,155 3,155 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $2,698 2,698 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $2,484 2,484 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 30 | $2,080 2,080 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Surf's Up sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-surfs-up) | 85.0% | $0.42 0.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1098`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1098) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $978 | 90.00% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #D32CE6 0.1% legendary 0.4% remarkable 0.2% base 0.2% covert 13.9% contraband 0.3% #4B69FF 85.0% #B0C3D9 0.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt