--- title: "Wicked case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wicked ($68.23) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.03% from 15 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1099 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Wicked](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1099) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Wicked A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1099?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1099?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1099) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1099?window=all) Price · $68.23 · 68.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.03% · EV $61.43 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 36.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 19.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1099?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1099?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1099) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1099?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $12.5K 12,468 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,980 3,980 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · gold · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 1,065 | $415 415 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,019 | $230 230 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 16 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 12.3% | $107 107 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $74.32 74.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-well-worn) | 10.4% | $47.63 47.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Movistar Riders (Gold) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-movistar-riders-gold-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 11 | $33.19 33.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $24.89 24.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Virus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-virus-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $19.18 19.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $15.49 15.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $12.87 12.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CS:GO Capsule Key container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-capsule-key) | 1 in 46 | $10.77 10.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-ancient-visions-well-worn) | 27.6% | $9.15 9.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1099`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1099) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $68.23 | 90.03% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.2% gold 0.1% covert 5.0% exotic 6.3% covert knife 12.3% extraordinary 9.3% classified 10.4% red 9.2% restricted 13.7% industrial 3.8% #B0C3D9 2.2% #8847FF 27.6% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.03 on average: an expected loss of $9.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt