--- title: "Sanguis case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sanguis ($105.33) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 15 items with odds, observed 88.15% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1100 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Sanguis](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1100) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Sanguis A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1100?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1100?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1100) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1100?window=all) Price · $105.33 · 105 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $94.76 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.15% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 8.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 157.5% 315.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1100?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1100?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1100) | 6 | 88.15% ±226.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1100?window=all) | 6 | 88.15% ±226.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $13K 13,015 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 3,333 | $9,161 9,161 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,800 5,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,729 4,729 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $1,046 1,046 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $819 819 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $737 737 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $293 293 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) | 11.3% | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.5% | 3 | 0.7 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 14.1% | $91.07 91.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 15.6% | $48.33 48.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 15.6% | $29.05 29.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 14.6% | $19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Sticker \| Complexity Gaming (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-gold-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 10 | $14.24 14.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1100`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1100) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $105 | 89.97% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 28.8% restricted 37.5% covert knife 14.1% #EB4B4B 9.8% Restricted 9.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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