--- title: "Prickles case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Prickles ($128.23) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 17 items with odds, observed 25.12% over 42 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1102 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Prickles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1102) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Prickles A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1102?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1102?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1102) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1102?window=all) Price · $128.23 · 128 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $115.37 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 25.12% · 42 openings, odds method Variance · 353.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 1,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 96.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 29 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min -0.5% 355.8% 712.0% **Small sample.** 42 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1102?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1102?window=7d) | 29 | 27.39% ±683.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1102) | 42 | 25.12% ±568.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1102?window=all) | 42 | 25.12% ±568.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 43.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $33K 33,026 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $15.3K 15,319 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $11.2K 11,243 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $8,994 8,994 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $8,276 8,276 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 3,333 | $5,219 5,219 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 425 | $1,042 1,042 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $293 293 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $91.07 91.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.77× | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $48.33 48.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 6 | 2.1 | 2.81× | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $29.05 29.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.13× | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 12.6% | $19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.95× | | [Sticker \| Complexity Gaming (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-gold-antwerp-2022) | 17.2% | $14.24 14.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 3 | 7.2 | 0.41× | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) | 22.4% | $10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 5 | 9.4 | 0.53× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) | 28.5% | $8.61 8.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 15 | 12.0 | 1.25× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1102`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1102) [Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $128 128 CSGOBIG\_COIN $293 293 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.29x 2026-11-08 19:29 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) Hidden $128 128 CSGOBIG\_COIN $8.61 8.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-08 19:29 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) Hidden $128 128 CSGOBIG\_COIN $19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-08 19:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) Hidden $128 128 CSGOBIG\_COIN $48.33 48.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.38x 2026-11-08 19:29 UTC [Sticker | Complexity Gaming (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $128 128 CSGOBIG\_COIN $14.24 14.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-08 19:29 UTC [Sticker | Complexity Gaming (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $128 128 CSGOBIG\_COIN $14.24 14.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-08 19:29 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) Hidden $128 128 CSGOBIG\_COIN $19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-07 02:29 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) Hidden $128 128 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 02:29 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) Hidden $128 128 CSGOBIG\_COIN $8.61 8.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-07 02:29 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) Hidden $128 128 CSGOBIG\_COIN $8.61 8.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-07 02:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $128 | 89.97% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 17.3% extraordinary 0.3% contraband 0.1% remarkable 0.1% covert 6.9% high 0.0% restricted 21.9% covert knife 2.7% Restricted 22.4% classified 28.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt