---
title: "Tankster case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Tankster ($31.83) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.12% from 15 items with odds, observed 78.41% over 6 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1103
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Tankster](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1103)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Tankster

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1103?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1103?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1103) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1103?window=all)

Price · $31.83 · 31.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.12% · EV $28.69 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.41% · 6 openings, odds method

Variance · 23.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 6 openings · below min

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

-0.5% 235.0% 470.5%

**Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1103?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1103?window=7d) | 6 | 78.41% ±391.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1103) | 6 | 78.41% ±391.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1103?window=all) | 6 | 78.41% ±391.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $13.4K 13,420 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,430 1,430 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 426 | $1,046 1,046 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,500 | $659 659 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $622 622 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [ESL One Katowice 2015 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-challengers-holo-foil) | 1 in 1,000 | $483 483 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $293 293 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $91.07 91.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $48.33 48.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $29.05 29.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 12.6% | $19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Sticker \| Complexity Gaming (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-gold-antwerp-2022) | 17.2% | $14.24 14.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) | 22.4% | $10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.49× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) | 28.5% | $8.61 8.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.17× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1103`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1103)

[CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) Hidden $31.83 31.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN $8.61 8.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.27x 2026-11-06 04:09 UTC

[Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.83 31.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-06 04:09 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) Hidden $31.83 31.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN $19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.61x 2026-11-06 04:09 UTC

[Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.83 31.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-06 04:09 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.83 31.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN $91.07 91.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.86x 2026-11-06 04:09 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) [LouisInRussian](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/LouisInRussian) $31.83 31.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN $8.61 8.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.27x 2026-11-06 04:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $31.83 | 90.12% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 7.1% extraordinary 0.1% base 0.1% restricted 21.9% covert knife 2.7% #EB4B4B 17.2% Restricted 22.4% classified 28.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.12 on average: an expected loss of $9.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
