--- title: "Basketball case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Basketball ($64.15) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 13 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1127 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Basketball](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1127) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Basketball A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1127?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1127?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1127) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1127?window=all) Price · $64.15 · 64.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $57.77 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 19.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1127?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1127?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1127) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1127?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,341 1,341 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $987 987 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Night (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,017 | $859 859 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $777 777 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $630 630 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 1,087 | $282 282 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) gloves · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 11.8% | $94.55 94.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-factory-new) | 15.1% | $52.66 52.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| G2 Esports (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-g2-esports-foil-cologne-2016) | 15.8% | $31.46 31.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| FalleN \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fallen-cologne-2015) | 13.7% | $21.31 21.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Edward (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-edward-foil-cologne-2016) | 35.6% | $15.52 15.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1127`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1127) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $64.15 | 90.05% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.6% rare 0.3% #EB4B4B 11.8% Covert 5.9% sunny 1.0% covert knife 0.1% classified 15.1% #D32CE6 51.4% #4B69FF 13.7% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt