---
title: "5% Inferno Vault case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "5% Inferno Vault ($150.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 36.47% over 15 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/113
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [5% Inferno Vault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/113)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 5% Inferno Vault

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/113?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/113?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/113) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/113?window=all)

Price · $150.00 · 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $135.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 36.47% · 15 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 15 openings · below min

30 days · 15 openings · below min

since tracking started · 15 openings · below min

-0.5% 129.5% 259.5%

**Small sample.** 15 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/113?window=24h) | 6 | 73.43% ±185.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/113?window=7d) | 15 | 36.47% ±117.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/113) | 15 | 36.47% ±117.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/113?window=all) | 15 | 36.47% ±117.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 55.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 10.1% | $510 510 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 38.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [Sticker \| ESL One Cologne 2014 (Red) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-one-cologne-2014-red) | 14.4% | $47.87 47.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 6 | 2.2 | 2.78× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $7.32 7.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Music Kit \| Skog, II-Headshot music kit · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-skog-ii-headshot) | 11.5% | $6.47 6.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.58× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $3.05 3.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.85× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.39 1.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 12.9% | $1.24 1.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.51× |
| [Patch \| Shattered Web patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-shattered-web) | 1 in 17 | $0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) | 15.8% | $0.69 0.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [Sticker \| Eternal Fire (Glitter) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eternal-fire-glitter-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 69 | $0.68 0.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=113`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $510 510 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.40x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=113)

[Patch | Shattered Web patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-shattered-web) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $510 510 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.40x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC

[Sticker | ESL One Cologne 2014 (Red) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-one-cologne-2014-red) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $47.87 47.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC

[Sticker | ESL One Cologne 2014 (Red) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-one-cologne-2014-red) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $47.87 47.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC

[Sticker | ESL One Cologne 2014 (Red) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-one-cologne-2014-red) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $47.87 47.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ Music Kit | Skog, II-Headshot music kit · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-skog-ii-headshot) [OgnyenGamba](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/OgnyenGamba) $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.47 6.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.32 7.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-10 07:09 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.69 0.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 07:09 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.05 3.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 02:48 UTC

[Sticker | ESL One Cologne 2014 (Red) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-one-cologne-2014-red) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $47.87 47.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-09 21:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $150 | 90.00% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.0% #EB4B4B 10.1% #d32ce6 14.4% restricted 11.5% #4B69FF 11.5% Mythical 10.1% mil spec 12.9% Rare 5.8% Restricted 15.8% violet 2.9% best hit $510 (3.40x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt