---
title: "Vintage case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Vintage ($935.76) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 30 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1130
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Vintage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1130)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Vintage

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1130?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1130?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1130) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1130?window=all)

Price · $935.76 · 936 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $842.07 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 20.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 44 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1130?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1130?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1130) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1130?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $85.8K 85,805 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $57.2K 57,171 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $41.3K 41,290 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $37K 37,003 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $30K 30,015 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $26.1K 26,090 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $16.7K 16,707 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $12.3K 12,292 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 500 | $11.4K 11,434 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.1K 11,148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 333 | $10.1K 10,148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $9,433 9,433 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $9,076 9,076 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $7,617 7,617 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $5,703 5,703 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $4,002 4,002 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $3,287 3,287 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $2,573 2,573 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $2,001 2,001 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,572 1,572 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,143 1,143 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 14.5% | $690 690 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 17.5% | $267 267 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 17.6% | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| ScreaM (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-scream-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 14.0% | $97.52 97.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Rio 2022 Viewer Pass + 3 Souvenir Tokens other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/rio-2022-viewer-pass-3-souvenir-tokens) | 11.7% | $57.55 57.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $34.65 34.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $23.83 23.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| nafany (Gold) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nafany-gold-rio-2022) | 1 in 30 | $17.29 17.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Kjaerbye (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kjaerbye-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 1,027 | $13.39 13.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1130`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1130)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $936 | 89.99% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 1.2% covert 67.9% remarkable 0.1% extraordinary 1.1% contraband 0.5% exotic 14.0% #B0C3D9 11.7% #F2F8FF 3.3% #D32CE6 0.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt