--- title: "Waddle case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Waddle ($850.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 20 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1134 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Waddle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1134) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Waddle A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1134?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1134?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1134) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1134?window=all) Price · $850.00 · 850 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $764.90 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 51.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 111 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1134?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1134?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1134) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1134?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) - Pattern 661 StatTrak · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear-pattern-661) | 1 in 1,000 | $150K 150,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir - 3x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-3x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $57.5K 57,550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 1,000 | $28.8K 28,775 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $16.3K 16,256 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $13.2K 13,156 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $9,592 9,592 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,690 6,690 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,251 5,251 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,300 4,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,935 2,935 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,518 2,518 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $1,499 1,499 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-field-tested) | 10.0% | $994 994 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) | 15.6% | $633 633 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Stained (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-stained-well-worn) | 18.2% | $260 260 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 15.3% | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-factory-new) | 14.0% | $99.36 99.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-battle-scarred) | 13.3% | $61.15 61.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $36.40 36.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1134`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1134) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $850 | 89.99% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #D32CE6 0.1% #EB4B4B 0.1% covert 15.3% base 0.1% legendary 0.1% contraband 0.1% extraordinary 0.3% classified 15.4% covert knife 33.8% gold 14.0% Mil Spec Grade 13.3% industrial 7.4% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt