---
title: "Fortune case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Fortune ($362.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.03% from 25 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1135
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Fortune](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1135)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Fortune

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1135?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1135?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1135) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1135?window=all)

Price · $362.55 · 363 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.03% · EV $326.39 from 25 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 19.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1135?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1135?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1135) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1135?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $36K 35,968 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $20.1K 20,142 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $13.4K 13,365 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.6K 11,585 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.6K 10,647 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,920 8,920 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,625 7,625 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $6,028 6,028 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $4,748 4,748 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $3,769 3,769 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $2,863 2,863 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $2,417 2,417 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) | 1 in 250 | $1,977 1,977 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $1,834 1,834 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $1,583 1,583 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $1,343 1,343 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $1,079 1,079 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $955 955 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 12 | $410 410 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 19.0% | $228 228 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 21.1% | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| gob b (Foil) \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gob-b-foil-cologne-2015) | 17.8% | $106 106 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Baroque Orange (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-baroque-orange-factory-new) | 11.3% | $74.02 74.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 16.9% | $47.19 47.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1135`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1135)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $363 | 90.03% | 25 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #EB4B4B 0.0% covert 10.4% extraordinary 0.1% epic 0.1% contraband 0.5% legendary 1.2% classified 20.5% covert knife 21.1% #D32CE6 17.8% restricted 28.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.03 on average: an expected loss of $9.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt