--- title: "Podium case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Podium ($37.88) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 91.60% over 15 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1138 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Podium](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1138) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Podium A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1138?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1138?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1138) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1138?window=all) Price · $37.88 · 37.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.91% · EV $34.06 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.60% · 15 openings, odds method Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 15 openings · below min since tracking started · 15 openings · below min -0.5% 165.3% 331.0% **Small sample.** 15 openings and 3.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1138?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1138?window=7d) | 3 | 57.40% ±273.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1138) | 15 | 91.60% ±122.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1138?window=all) | 15 | 91.60% ±122.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,169 2,169 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 1,037 | $943 943 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,101 | $221 221 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 134 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Keyd Stars (Foil) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keyd-stars-foil-katowice-2015) | 10.5% | $93.16 93.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 14.2% | $50.91 50.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.2% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.94× | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 13.0% | $30.26 30.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 11.9% | $20.29 20.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.68× | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-cluj-napoca-2015) | 10.4% | $14.86 14.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $11.47 11.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× | | [London 2018 Returning Challengers Autograph Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/london-2018-returning-challengers-autograph-capsule) | 1 in 14 | $9.04 9.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× | | [AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 22.8% | $7.16 7.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.88× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1138`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1138) [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $37.88 37.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN $50.91 50.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.34x 2026-11-09 06:29 UTC [AUG | Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.88 37.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.16 7.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-09 04:29 UTC [AUG | Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.88 37.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.16 7.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-09 04:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $37.88 | 89.91% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.3% classified 9.6% #D32CE6 10.5% restricted 48.9% #d32ee6 13.0% high 10.4% #B0C3D9 7.3% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.91 on average: an expected loss of $10.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt