--- title: "Venom case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Venom ($62.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 12 items with odds, observed 145.77% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1139 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Venom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1139) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Venom A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1139?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1139?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1139) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1139?window=all) Price · $62.55 · 62.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $56.32 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 145.77% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 23.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 1 openings · below min 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min -0.5% 545.3% 1091.0% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1139?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1139?window=7d) | 1 | 145.77% ±944.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1139) | 1 | 145.77% ±944.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1139?window=all) | 1 | 145.77% ±944.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,688 7,688 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,729 4,729 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,420 2,420 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,746 1,746 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,024 | $1,044 1,044 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 1,061 | $293 293 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) | 12.3% | $91.18 91.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 18.0% | $48.36 48.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 19.8% | $29.05 29.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 18.6% | $19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Complexity Gaming (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-gold-antwerp-2022) | 27.2% | $14.24 14.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1139`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1139) [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $62.55 62.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $91.18 91.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.46x 2026-11-05 16:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $62.55 | 90.05% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 18.4% contraband 0.1% Remarkable 0.1% gold 3.6% covert knife 12.3% restricted 38.3% #EB4B4B 27.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt