---
title: "Reboot case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Reboot ($312.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.03% from 15 items with odds, observed 53.06% over 4 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1141
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Reboot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1141)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Reboot

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1141?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1141?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1141) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1141?window=all)

Price · $312.55 · 313 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.03% · EV $281.40 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 53.06% · 4 openings, odds method

Variance · 58.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 53 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 4 openings · below min

30 days · 4 openings · below min

since tracking started · 4 openings · below min

-0.5% 401.2% 803.0%

**Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1141?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1141?window=7d) | 4 | 53.06% ±749.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1141) | 4 | 53.06% ±749.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1141?window=all) | 4 | 53.06% ±749.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $71.9K 71,937 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $16.3K 16,256 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $12.7K 12,661 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,329 8,329 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,043 6,043 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,102 4,102 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $2,243 2,243 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $1,726 1,726 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,358 1,358 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $439 439 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 16.8% | $235 235 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-well-worn) | 20.0% | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 18.0% | $105 105 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 16.1% | $72.60 72.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 20.1% | $45.41 45.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1141`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1141)

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $313 313 CSGOBIG\_COIN $235 235 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.75x 2026-11-09 14:20 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $313 313 CSGOBIG\_COIN $235 235 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.75x 2026-11-09 14:20 UTC

[M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $313 313 CSGOBIG\_COIN $45.41 45.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-09 14:20 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Stained (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-well-worn) Hidden $313 313 CSGOBIG\_COIN $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.47x 2026-11-09 14:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $313 | 90.03% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed remarkable 0.1% legendary 0.2% covert 36.8% epic 0.4% classified 0.1% extraordinary 7.6% sunny 16.8% #ffd700 20.0% rare 18.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.03 on average: an expected loss of $9.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
