--- title: "Bubbles case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bubbles ($75.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 13 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1146 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Bubbles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1146) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Bubbles A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1146?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1146?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1146) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1146?window=all) Price · $75.00 · 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $67.54 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 29.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1146?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1146?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1146) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1146?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $9,416 9,416 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,808 6,808 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,679 4,679 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,173 2,173 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,593 1,593 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,005 | $1,044 1,044 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 1,042 | $293 293 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) | 12.6% | $91.18 91.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 18.3% | $48.36 48.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 19.4% | $29.05 29.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 18.2% | $19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Complexity Gaming (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-gold-antwerp-2022) | 25.1% | $14.24 14.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1146`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1146) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $75.00 | 90.05% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% covert 18.8% Remarkable 0.1% gold 5.8% covert knife 12.6% restricted 37.6% #EB4B4B 25.1% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt