--- title: "Arcade case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Arcade ($83.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 13 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1147 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Arcade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1147) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Arcade A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1147?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1147?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1147) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1147?window=all) Price · $83.55 · 83.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $75.18 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 9.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 35 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1147?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1147?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1147) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1147?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,870 1,870 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $1,426 1,426 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $1,106 1,106 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $222 222 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| ZywOo (Gold) \| Paris 2023 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-gold-paris-2023) | 1 in 24 | $77.38 77.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $51.50 51.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $35.55 35.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-battle-scarred) | 12.1% | $26.99 26.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| HooXi (Gold) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hooxi-gold-paris-2023) | 15.6% | $20.85 20.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir P250 \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 19.5% | $16.74 16.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 23.5% | $13.89 13.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1147`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1147) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $83.55 | 89.98% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.0% covert 3.2% extraordinary 7.2% #EB4B4B 17.1% industrial 3.0% Ancient 4.2% Restricted 9.2% restricted 12.1% #B0C3D9 19.5% Legendary 23.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt