--- title: "Peel case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Peel ($300.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 15 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1148 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Peel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1148) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Peel A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1148?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1148?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1148) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1148?window=all) Price · $300.00 · 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $269.87 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1148?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1148?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1148) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1148?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $12.5K 12,497 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $9,881 9,881 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,445 7,445 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $5,595 5,595 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $3,778 3,778 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $2,877 2,877 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $2,034 2,034 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $1,664 1,664 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,277 1,277 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 11.9% | $745 745 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 32.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 19.8% | $274 274 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 21.0% | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-scorched-field-tested) | 17.5% | $96.55 96.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| FalleN (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fallen-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 15.5% | $55.51 55.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desert-strike-well-worn) | 12.3% | $33.22 33.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1148`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1148) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $300 | 89.96% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.8% contraband 0.1% classified 0.2% legendary 0.3% epic 0.3% exotic 11.9% covert knife 38.6% #D32CE6 15.5% #EB4B4B 12.3% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt