--- title: "Hot Batch case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hot Batch ($317.85) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 20 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1151 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Hot Batch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1151) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Hot Batch A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1151?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1151?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1151) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1151?window=all) Price · $317.85 · 318 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $286.11 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 10.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 35 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1151?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1151?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1151) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1151?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $15.1K 15,113 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $10.5K 10,463 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $6,902 6,902 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $5,013 5,013 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $4,198 4,198 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $3,391 3,391 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Knight (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-knight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $2,660 2,660 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $2,280 2,280 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $1,744 1,744 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,366 1,366 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,058 1,058 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $690 690 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,033 | $241 241 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $176 176 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 14.9% | $140 140 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 13.0% | $114 114 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 11.2% | $93.97 93.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $73.37 73.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-core-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $55.43 55.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 30.5% | $41.98 41.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1151`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1151) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $318 | 90.01% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.1% extraordinary 0.8% covert 25.4% restricted 6.2% legendary 1.2% Classified 13.3% covert knife 22.6% red 30.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt