---
title: "Hopium case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Hopium ($1,000.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 28 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1153
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Hopium](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1153)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Hopium

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1153?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1153?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1153) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1153?window=all)

Price · $1,000.00 · 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $900.00 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1153?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1153?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1153) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1153?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 1,000 | $30K 29,985 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $27K 27,029 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $23.3K 23,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $16.4K 16,421 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $15.8K 15,810 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $12.4K 12,432 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $10.6K 10,576 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $9,155 9,155 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $8,484 8,484 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $7,266 7,266 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $5,667 5,667 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $4,167 4,167 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $3,482 3,482 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $3,050 3,050 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $2,746 2,746 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2,170 2,170 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1,668 1,668 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $1,259 1,259 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $1,005 1,005 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $655 655 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $447 447 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $320 320 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $225 225 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $167 167 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $99.98 99.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $74.84 74.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 18.0% | $49.69 49.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1153`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1153)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,000 | 90.00% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed base 0.1% legendary 0.8% remarkable 0.1% contraband 0.2% covert 84.9% extraordinary 4.8% Mil Spec Grade 9.1% #B0C3D9 0.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt