---
title: "Clockwork case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Clockwork ($117.43) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.04% from 12 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1157
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Clockwork](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1157)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Clockwork

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1157?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1157?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1157) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1157?window=all)

Price · $117.43 · 117 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.04% · EV $105.74 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 12.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1157?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1157?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1157) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1157?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $9,729 9,729 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,143 7,143 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,242 4,242 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $1,428 1,428 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $1,183 1,183 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 1,011 | $745 745 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $576 576 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 74 | $274 274 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 19.0% | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 26.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-scorched-field-tested) | 19.6% | $96.55 96.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| FalleN (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fallen-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 19.7% | $55.51 55.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desert-strike-well-worn) | 39.0% | $33.22 33.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1157`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1157)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $117 | 90.04% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.6% contraband 0.1% covert 1.7% legendary 0.3% exotic 0.1% sunny 19.0% covert knife 19.6% #D32CE6 19.7% #EB4B4B 39.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.04 on average: an expected loss of $9.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
