--- title: "Passion case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Passion ($162.83) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 20 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1158 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Passion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1158) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Passion A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1158?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1158?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1158) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1158?window=all) Price · $162.83 · 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $146.63 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1158?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1158?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1158) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1158?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $9,223 9,223 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,698 7,698 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,792 5,792 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $4,163 4,163 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,295 3,295 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $2,324 2,324 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,627 1,627 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,330 1,330 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $950 950 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $668 668 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [ESL One Katowice 2015 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-challengers-holo-foil) | 1 in 200 | $508 508 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $203 203 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 16.7% | $160 160 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 15.2% | $134 134 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 13.5% | $114 114 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-dreamhack-2014) | 11.8% | $98.25 98.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $81.79 81.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $67.04 67.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $53.19 53.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Headhunter (Foil) sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-headhunter-foil) | 20.1% | $42.64 42.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1158`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1158) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $163 | 90.05% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 27.0% legendary 0.6% extraordinary 2.0% base 0.5% #EB4B4B 16.7% Covert 15.2% remarkable 11.8% classified 6.1% pink 20.1% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt