---
title: "Shadow Shroud case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Shadow Shroud ($250.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/116
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Shadow Shroud](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/116)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Shadow Shroud

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/116?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/116?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/116) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/116?window=all)

Price · $250.00 · 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $225.02 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/116?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/116?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/116) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/116?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $5,738 5,738 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 16.5% | $627 627 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 46.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 15.0% | $257 257 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-field-tested) | 12.0% | $189 189 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 10.5% | $19.02 19.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $13.43 13.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| sinnopsyy (Gold) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sinnopsyy-gold-rio-2022) | 1 in 13 | $6.56 6.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| allu \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-allu-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 17 | $1.62 1.62 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $1.54 1.54 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-factory-new) | 13.5% | $1.06 1.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Tombstone (Violent Violet) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone-violent-violet) | 1 in 11 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=116`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=116)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $250 | 90.01% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 13.0% covert knife 16.5% covert 15.0% Legendary 10.5% classified 1.5% #EB4B4B 7.5% #4B69FF 6.0% restricted 3.0% mil spec 13.5% consumer 4.5% #B0C3D9 9.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
