---
title: "Lost Bunny case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Lost Bunny ($240.70) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 19 items with odds, observed 128.94% over 4 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1161
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Lost Bunny](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1161)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Lost Bunny

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1161?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1161?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1161) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1161?window=all)

Price · $240.70 · 241 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $216.63 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 128.94% · 4 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 4 openings · below min

30 days · 4 openings · below min

since tracking started · 4 openings · below min

-0.5% 203.5% 407.5%

**Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1161?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1161?window=7d) | 4 | 128.94% ±278.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1161) | 4 | 128.94% ±278.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1161?window=all) | 4 | 128.94% ±278.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $16.5K 16,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 5,000 | $14.5K 14,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $13.2K 13,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $6,900 6,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,111 | $6,600 6,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,500 5,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,200 5,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $4,500 4,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $4,250 4,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $3,150 3,150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $2,050 2,050 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $1,550 1,550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $1,320 1,320 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $870 870 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $740 740 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $230 230 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sticker \| Friendly Fire (Holo) sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-friendly-fire-holo) | 40.0% | $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [Sticker \| Nest Egg (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nest-egg-holo) | 35.0% | $0.50 0.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1161`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $241 241 CSGOBIG\_COIN $740 740 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.07x 2026-11-08 02:39 UTC

[AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) Hidden $241 241 CSGOBIG\_COIN $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.08x 2026-11-08 02:39 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1161)

[AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) Hidden $241 241 CSGOBIG\_COIN $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.08x 2026-11-08 02:39 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $241 241 CSGOBIG\_COIN $740 740 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.07x 2026-11-08 02:39 UTC

[Sticker | Friendly Fire (Holo) sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-friendly-fire-holo) [Jörgen van der gurt](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/J%C3%B6rgen%20van%20der%20gurt) $241 241 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-04 17:39 UTC

[Sticker | Nest Egg (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nest-egg-holo) Hidden $241 241 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.50 0.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-04 17:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $241 | 90.00% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 3.0% covert 14.6% legendary 2.2% Covert 1.2% rare 4.0% #8847FF 40.0% Mythical 35.0% best hit $740 (3.07x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt