---
title: "Sunrise Blast case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Sunrise Blast ($45.80) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 18 items with odds, observed 57.50% over 3 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1166
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Sunrise Blast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1166)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Sunrise Blast

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1166?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1166?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1166) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1166?window=all)

Price · $45.80 · 45.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $41.22 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 57.50% · 3 openings, odds method

Variance · 19.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 37 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 3 openings · below min

30 days · 3 openings · below min

since tracking started · 3 openings · below min

-0.5% 279.3% 559.0%

**Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1166?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1166?window=7d) | 3 | 57.50% ±501.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1166) | 3 | 57.50% ±501.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1166?window=all) | 3 | 57.50% ±501.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $10.8K 10,802 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 3,333 | $3,600 3,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,800 2,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,400 2,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,750 1,750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $1,162 1,162 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $847 847 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $496 496 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| kNgV- (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 100 | $297 297 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $215 215 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $135 135 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.pro (Foil) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-foil-katowice-2015) | 1 in 50 | $72.00 72 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $52.00 52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $23.00 23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sticker \| Snax (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snax-foil-krakow-2017) | 10.0% | $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Reactor (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-reactor-well-worn) | 15.0% | $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) | 18.0% | $4.00 4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Sticker \| Hot Wings (Holo) sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-wings-holo) | 31.3% | $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1166`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1166)

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) Hidden $45.80 45.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.00 4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 10:39 UTC

[AWP | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) Hidden $45.80 45.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $23.00 23 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-07 10:39 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) [Mexi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Mexi) $45.80 45.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $52.00 52 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.14x 2026-11-07 10:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $45.80 | 90.01% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 17.6% extraordinary 2.6% legendary 0.5% #EB4B4B 1.0% covert knife 2.0% pink 2.0% remarkable 10.0% Rare 15.0% #8847FF 49.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt