---
title: "Yolkie case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Yolkie ($26.72) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.02% from 19 items with odds, observed 95.46% over 16 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1167
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Yolkie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1167)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Yolkie

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1167?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1167?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1167) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1167?window=all)

Price · $26.72 · 26.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.02% · EV $24.05 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.46% · 16 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 56.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 16 openings · below min

30 days · 16 openings · below min

since tracking started · 16 openings · below min

-0.5% 113.5% 227.5%

**Small sample.** 16 openings and 1.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1167?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1167?window=7d) | 16 | 95.46% ±131.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1167) | 16 | 95.46% ±131.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1167?window=all) | 16 | 95.46% ±131.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,750 2,750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,900 1,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,200 1,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,050 1,050 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $750 750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $390 390 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $360 360 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $275 275 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife) | 1 in 1,000 | $210 210 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 256 | $160 160 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $130 130 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Undertow (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-undertow-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $65.00 65 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $55.00 55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $43.00 43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.2% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 20.0% | $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.9% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× |
| [Nova \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-well-worn) | 31.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 8 | 5.0 | 1.61× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1167`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1167)

[Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $26.72 26.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 02:09 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $26.72 26.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 02:09 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.72 26.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $275 275 CSGOBIG\_COIN 10.29x 2026-11-10 02:09 UTC

[P90 | Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.72 26.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $43.00 43 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.61x 2026-11-10 02:09 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $26.72 26.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.12x 2026-11-10 02:09 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-well-worn) [✪ DB™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/%E2%9C%AA%20DB%E2%84%A2) $26.72 26.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 02:09 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-well-worn) [✪ DB™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/%E2%9C%AA%20DB%E2%84%A2) $26.72 26.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 21:00 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $26.72 26.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 21:00 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $26.72 26.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 21:00 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $26.72 26.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.12x 2026-11-09 21:00 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $26.72 | 90.02% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 41.5% classified 2.1% #EB4B4B 0.1% extraordinary 0.4% consumer 56.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.02 on average: an expected loss of $9.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt