--- title: "Silk Hatch case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Silk Hatch ($56.41) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 12 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1168 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Silk Hatch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1168) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Silk Hatch A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1168?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1168?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1168) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1168?window=all) Price · $56.41 · 56.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $50.77 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 10.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1168?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1168?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1168) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1168?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,741 2,741 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,100 2,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,650 1,650 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $950 950 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 10.0% | $125 125 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-well-worn) | 10.0% | $22.00 22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 10.0% | $12.00 12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $5.85 5.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $2.95 2.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Heat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) | 28.1% | $0.89 0.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1168`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1168) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $56.41 | 90.01% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 0.1% covert 26.4% restricted 0.5% classified 45.0% Restricted 28.1% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt