--- title: "Choco Stash case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Choco Stash ($32.26) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1170 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Choco Stash](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1170) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Choco Stash A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1170?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1170?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1170) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1170?window=all) Price · $32.26 · 32.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $29.03 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 62.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1170?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1170?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1170) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1170?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $9,800 9,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $8,000 8,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,600 4,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 417 | $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $300 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Well-Worn) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $48.00 48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 15.0% | $33.00 33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 17.0% | $13.14 13.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Dead Eye (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dead-eye-holo) | 25.0% | $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 32.0% | $2.19 2.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1170`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1170) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $32.26 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 24.5% legendary 0.1% extraordinary 0.2% restricted 0.2% Extraordinary 3.0% mil spec 15.0% remarkable 25.0% classified 32.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt