--- title: "Royal Gem case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Royal Gem ($32.88) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 11 items with odds, observed 44.62% over 2 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1172 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Royal Gem](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1172) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Royal Gem A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1172?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1172?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1172) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1172?window=all) Price · $32.88 · 32.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $29.61 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 44.62% · 2 openings, odds method Variance · 10.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 2 openings · below min 30 days · 2 openings · below min since tracking started · 2 openings · below min -0.5% 244.3% 489.0% **Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1172?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1172?window=7d) | 2 | 44.62% ±443.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1172) | 2 | 44.62% ±443.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1172?window=all) | 2 | 44.62% ±443.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,978 1,978 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 367 | $943 943 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 113 | $289 289 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 57 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Keyd Stars (Foil) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keyd-stars-foil-katowice-2015) | 1 in 36 | $93.16 93.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $50.91 50.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $30.26 30.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Tropical Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-minimal-wear) | 12.6% | $20.30 20.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 17.3% | $14.87 14.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 22.4% | $11.47 11.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [London 2018 Returning Challengers Autograph Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/london-2018-returning-challengers-autograph-capsule) | 28.4% | $9.04 9.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1172`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1172) [SSG 08 | Tropical Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.88 32.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN $20.30 20.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.62x 2026-11-07 06:19 UTC [London 2018 Returning Challengers Autograph Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/london-2018-returning-challengers-autograph-capsule) Hidden $32.88 32.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.04 9.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.27x 2026-11-07 06:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $32.88 | 90.05% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.2% classified 22.6% extraordinary 0.9% exotic 1.7% #D32CE6 2.8% restricted 5.0% #d32ee6 8.5% #5E98D9 12.6% mil spec 17.3% #B0C3D9 28.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt