--- title: "Sunshine Treasure case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sunshine Treasure ($88.43) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 15 items with odds, observed 35.73% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1174 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Sunshine Treasure](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1174) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Sunshine Treasure A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1174?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1174?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1174) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1174?window=all) Price · $88.43 · 88.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $79.63 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 35.73% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 63.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 62.0% 124.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 2.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1174?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1174?window=7d) | 12 | 35.73% ±88.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1174) | 12 | 35.73% ±88.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1174?window=all) | 12 | 35.73% ±88.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,800 3,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $1,899 1,899 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $957 957 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,057 | $720 720 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $641 641 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $318 318 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $272 272 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Foil) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-foil-katowice-2015) | 15.0% | $149 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Foil) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-foil-katowice-2015) | 15.1% | $97.21 97.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.5% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 15.3% | $56.60 56.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.9% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 12.9% | $34.05 34.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.29× | | [DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Legends (Foil) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-cluj-napoca-2015-legends-foil) | 1 in 13 | $23.38 23.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Sticker \| Fnatic (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 17 | $16.91 16.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 3 | 0.7 | — | | [P2000 \| Grassland Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grassland-leaves-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $13.14 13.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 3 | 0.5 | — | | [MP7 \| Nemesis (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-factory-new) | 17.2% | $10.45 10.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1174`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1174) [M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $88.43 88.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN $56.60 56.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Cologne 2014 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-cologne-2014) Hidden $88.43 88.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN $16.91 16.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) Hidden $88.43 88.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN $34.05 34.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.39x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Cologne 2014 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-cologne-2014) Hidden $88.43 88.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN $16.91 16.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) Hidden $88.43 88.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN $34.05 34.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.39x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC [M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $88.43 88.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN $56.60 56.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC [P2000 | Grassland Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grassland-leaves-minimal-wear) Hidden $88.43 88.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN $13.14 13.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Foil) | Katowice 2015 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-foil-katowice-2015) [ChubbyBunny](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/ChubbyBunny) $88.43 88.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN $97.21 97.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.10x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC [P2000 | Grassland Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grassland-leaves-minimal-wear) Hidden $88.43 88.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN $13.14 13.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Cologne 2014 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-cologne-2014) Hidden $88.43 88.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN $16.91 16.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $88.43 | 90.05% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 34.5% #ffd700 0.1% gold 0.1% Legendary 15.0% #D32CE6 15.1% #B0C3D9 7.6% Mythical 5.9% industrial 4.4% classified 17.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt