--- title: "Frosted Orb case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Frosted Orb ($135.63) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 15 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1175 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Frosted Orb](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1175) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Frosted Orb A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1175?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1175?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1175) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1175?window=all) Price · $135.63 · 136 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $122.13 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 10.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 28.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1175?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1175?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1175) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1175?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $9,377 9,377 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,318 8,318 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,739 4,739 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,861 1,861 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,125 1,125 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $789 789 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,010 | $333 333 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 12.5% | $212 212 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 14.9% | $145 145 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 14.9% | $109 109 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| chopper (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chopper-foil-krakow-2017) | 10.7% | $81.04 81.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Magisk (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magisk-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 10 | $56.01 56.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| SK Gaming (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sk-gaming-foil-boston-2018) | 1 in 11 | $38.88 38.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Nova \| Tempest (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-tempest-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $29.76 29.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-battle-scarred) | 18.9% | $23.41 23.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1175`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1175) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $136 | 90.05% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% legendary 0.1% covert 34.8% restricted 0.2% covert knife 27.4% #8847FF 20.6% #D32CE6 9.0% #4B69FF 7.8% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt