--- title: "Rattle case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rattle ($36.22) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 13 items with odds, observed 57.56% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1179 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Rattle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1179) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Rattle A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1179?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1179?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1179) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1179?window=all) Price · $36.22 · 36.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $32.61 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 57.56% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 118.5% 237.5% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1179?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1179?window=7d) | 3 | 57.56% ±179.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1179) | 3 | 57.56% ±179.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1179?window=all) | 3 | 57.56% ±179.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,265 1,265 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 1,067 | $891 891 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 1,092 | $286 286 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 11.0% | $94.09 94.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 31.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Recoil AWP (Blood Red) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-recoil-awp-blood-red) | 10.8% | $51.63 51.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 13.1% | $31.03 31.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| HooXi (Gold) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hooxi-gold-paris-2023) | 11.7% | $20.85 20.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 3 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| device \| Cologne 2015 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-device-cologne-2015) | 1 in 10 | $15.21 15.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir MP9 \| Dark Age (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-dark-age-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $11.71 11.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Autograph Capsule \| Fnatic \| Atlanta 2017 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-fnatic-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 15 | $9.29 9.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $7.36 7.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [P250 \| Muertos (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-well-worn) | 20.6% | $5.91 5.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1179`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1179) [Sticker | HooXi (Gold) | Paris 2023 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hooxi-gold-paris-2023) Hidden $36.22 36.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN $20.85 20.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.58x 2026-11-09 04:29 UTC [Sticker | HooXi (Gold) | Paris 2023 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hooxi-gold-paris-2023) Hidden $36.22 36.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN $20.85 20.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.58x 2026-11-09 04:29 UTC [Sticker | HooXi (Gold) | Paris 2023 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hooxi-gold-paris-2023) [PhukFace](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/PhukFace) $36.22 36.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN $20.85 20.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.58x 2026-11-06 07:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $36.22 | 90.05% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 2.2% covert 18.8% gold 11.0% #B0C3D9 17.5% #EB4B4B 11.7% Rare 10.0% mil spec 8.3% #d32ce6 20.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt