--- title: "5% Electric Surge case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Electric Surge ($500.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 2.88% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/118 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [5% Electric Surge](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/118) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 5% Electric Surge A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/118?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/118?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/118) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/118?window=all) Price · $500.00 · 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $450.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 2.88% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 11.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 190.0% 380.5% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/118?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/118?window=7d) | 3 | 2.88% ±376.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/118) | 3 | 2.88% ±376.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/118?window=all) | 3 | 2.88% ±376.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $7,614 7,614 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 84.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $1,611 1,611 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $209 209 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $92.99 92.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 14.4% | $37.19 37.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-field-tested) | 10.1% | $11.29 11.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Music Kit \| Kelly Bailey, Hazardous Environments music kit · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-kelly-bailey-hazardous-environments) | 15.8% | $5.33 5.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) | 11.5% | $5.24 5.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-ancient-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $4.94 4.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Patch \| Evil Geniuses (Gold) \| Stockholm 2021 patch · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-evil-geniuses-gold-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 14 | $2.31 2.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-emerald-poison-dart-well-worn) | 13.0% | $1.63 1.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [MP7 \| Powercore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $0.69 0.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=118`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=118) [MP7 | Powercore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-battle-scarred) Hidden $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.69 0.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 16:08 UTC [Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) Hidden $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN $37.19 37.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-08 16:08 UTC [Music Kit | Kelly Bailey, Hazardous Environments music kit · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-kelly-bailey-hazardous-environments) [Raven 5K LB BiW](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Raven%205K%20LB%20BiW) $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.33 5.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 16:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $500 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 10.8% #ffd700 2.9% covert 18.7% industrial 10.1% #4B69FF 15.8% #8847ff 11.5% #8847FF 8.6% Restricted 13.0% restricted 8.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt