--- title: "Rose Crown case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rose Crown ($79.44) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 11 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1180 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Rose Crown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1180) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Rose Crown A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1180?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1180?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1180) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1180?window=all) Price · $79.44 · 79.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $71.45 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 9.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1180?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1180?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1180) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1180?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $14.3K 14,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $8,738 8,738 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,570 5,570 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,047 | $888 888 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $285 285 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-well-worn) | 15.0% | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 31.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 17.1% | $93.97 93.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ancient-lore-field-tested) | 14.9% | $51.62 51.62 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-minimal-wear) | 14.1% | $31.00 31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Graven (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-graven-field-tested) | 12.6% | $20.83 20.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Brigadier General Pin pin · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/brigadier-general-pin) | 23.5% | $15.20 15.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1180`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1180) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $79.44 | 89.94% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.0% legendary 0.0% covert 19.7% covert knife 0.1% #ffd700 15.0% Restricted 14.9% classified 14.1% violet 12.6% extraordinary 23.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt