--- title: "Highroll case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Highroll ($108.44) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 15 items with odds, observed 131.10% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1182 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Highroll](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1182) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Highroll A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1182?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1182?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1182) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1182?window=all) Price · $108.44 · 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $97.65 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 131.10% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 29.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 55.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min -0.5% 185.8% 372.0% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1182?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1182?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1182) | 1 | 131.10% ±240.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1182?window=all) | 1 | 131.10% ±240.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,478 6,478 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $3,717 3,717 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,290 2,290 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,463 1,463 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,147 1,147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $840 840 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $565 565 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 1,021 | $277 277 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 10.9% | $192 192 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 17.8% | $142 142 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 14.9% | $112 112 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $88.52 88.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir MP9 \| Setting Sun (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-setting-sun-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $65.67 65.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Safety Net (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safety-net-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [USP-S \| Serum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-minimal-wear) | 34.3% | $35.62 35.62 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1182`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1182) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $108 | 90.05% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 18.0% extraordinary 0.0% epic 0.1% classified 34.4% legendary 0.2% covert knife 34.9% mil spec 6.9% Restricted 5.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt