---
title: "Deadlock case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Deadlock ($342.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.80% from 12 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1183
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Deadlock](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1183)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Deadlock

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1183?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1183?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1183) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1183?window=all)

Price · $342.55 · 343 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.80% · EV $311.02 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 143.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 500 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 94.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1183?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1183?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1183) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1183?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 32.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $65K 65,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $52K 52,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife) | 1 in 1,088 | $268 268 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $149 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| dAT team (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dat-team-holo-cologne-2014) | 14.8% | $97.90 97.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| NQZ (Gold) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nqz-gold-rio-2022) | 16.1% | $58.16 58.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| NAF (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-foil-cologne-2016) | 11.7% | $34.73 34.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $23.92 23.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 37.9% | $17.36 17.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| kNgV- (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 1,077 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1183`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1183)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $343 | 90.80% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.2% remarkable 0.1% covert 57.0% #8847FF 14.8% #EB4B4B 16.2% #d32ce6 11.7%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.80 on average: an expected loss of $9.20 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
